CUED Publications database

Management of thermal performance risks in buildings subject to climate change

de Wilde, P and Tian, W (2012) Management of thermal performance risks in buildings subject to climate change. Building and Environment, 55. pp. 167-177. ISSN 0360-1323

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Abstract

This article reports on the use of building performance simulation to quantify the risks that climate change poses to the thermal performance of buildings, and to their critical functions. Through a number of case studies the article demonstrates that any prediction of the probable thermal building performance on the long timeframes inherent in climate change comes with very large uncertainties. The same cases are used to illustrate that assessing the consequences of predicted change is problematic, since the functions that the building provides in themselves often are a moving target. The article concludes that quantification of the risks posed by climate change is possible, but only with many restrictions. Further research that is needed to move to more effective discussion about risk acceptance and risk abatement for specific buildings is identified. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Building simulation Climate change Risk management Thermal performance
Subjects: UNSPECIFIED
Divisions: Div D > Structures
Depositing User: Cron Job
Date Deposited: 07 Mar 2014 11:29
Last Modified: 08 Dec 2014 02:13
DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2012.01.018