CUED Publications database

Environmental impacts of transformative land use and transport developments in the Greater Beijing Region: Insights from a new dynamic spatial equilibrium model

Jin, Y and Denman, S and Deng, D and Rong, X and Ma, M and Wan, L and Mao, Q and Zhao, L and Long, Y (2017) Environmental impacts of transformative land use and transport developments in the Greater Beijing Region: Insights from a new dynamic spatial equilibrium model. Transportation Research Part D, 52. pp. 548-561. ISSN 1361-9209 (Unpublished)

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Abstract

This paper reports the insights into environmental impacts of the ongoing transformative land use and transport developments in Greater Beijing, from a new suite of dynamic land use, spatial equilibrium and strategic transport models that is calibrated for medium to long term land use and transport predictions. The model tests are focused on urban passenger travel demand and associated emissions within the municipality of Beijing, accounting for Beijing’s land use and transport interactions with Tianjin, Hebei and beyond. The findings suggests that background trends of urbanization, economic growth and income rises will continue to be very powerful drivers for urban passenger travel demand across all main modes of transport beyond 2030. In order to achieve the dual policy aims for a moderately affluent and equitable nation and reducing the absolute levels of urban transport emissions by 2030, road charging and careful micro-level coordination between land use, built form and public transport provision may need to be considered together for policy implementation in the near future.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: travel demand forecasting urban transport emissions transformative development land use/transport coordination land use dynamics spatial equilibrium model strategic transport model Greater Beijing
Subjects: UNSPECIFIED
Divisions: Div D > Geotechnical and Environmental
Depositing User: Cron Job
Date Deposited: 17 Jul 2017 19:11
Last Modified: 27 Oct 2020 05:54
DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2016.12.009